Learn how to calculate reorder points for your small business inventory — simple formulas, real examples, and why spreadsheets are holding you back.
You run out of stock on your best-selling item. Again.
You tell yourself you'll order more next time. But next time comes, and you're guessing again — maybe 50 units, maybe 100, maybe just hope it lasts until the next shipment.
If this sounds familiar, you're not alone. Most small businesses set reorder points by gut feel. And gut feel is why 43% of small businesses report lost sales due to stockouts at least once a quarter.
Here's how to fix it with a simple formula — no spreadsheets required.
Put simply, a reorder point is the inventory level at which you should place a new order. When your stock hits that number, it's time to buy more.
The goal is simple: get new stock in just as the old stock runs out.
Order too early, and you tie up cash in extra inventory. Order too late, and you lose sales. A reorder point finds the sweet spot between the two.
To calculate your reorder point, you need two things:
1. Average daily sales — How many units you sell per day.
2. Lead time — How many days between placing an order and receiving it.
That's it for the basic formula. Let's walk through an example.
Let's say you run a small soap business. For your bestselling lavender soap:
Your reorder point is: 10 × 7 = 70 units
When your stock of lavender soap drops to 70, it's time to order more. By the time the new shipment arrives in 7 days, you'll have sold those 70 units and your stock will be at zero.
The basic formula works — until something goes wrong.
What if your supplier is delayed by 3 days? Or a TikTok video goes viral and you sell 50 units in one afternoon?
That's where safety stock comes in. Safety stock is a buffer against the unexpected.
The formula with safety stock looks like this:
Reorder Point = (Average Daily Sales × Lead Time) + Safety Stock
A simple way to calculate safety stock:
Safety Stock = (Maximum Daily Sales × Maximum Lead Time) — (Average Daily Sales × Average Lead Time)
It looks complicated, but it's just asking: "What's the worst case, and how much extra do I need?"
Back to our soap company. Let's say:
Safety stock = (18 × 12) — (10 × 7) = 216 — 70 = 146 units
Reorder point = (10 × 7) + 146 = 216 units
This is much more conservative. The business keeps 146 units as a buffer against demand spikes and supplier delays. The reorder point kicks in at 216 units instead of 70.
Is 146 units of safety stock too much? That depends on:
If your supplier is reliable and demand is stable, you can use a lower safety stock. If you're in a volatile market, lean toward higher safety stock.
If you sell twice as much in December, using your annual average daily sales will give you the wrong reorder point for Q4.
Fix: Calculate reorder points based on rolling 30-60 day averages, not annual averages.
Your business changes. A reorder point that worked in January may not work in July.
Fix: Review and adjust reorder points monthly, or let software do it automatically.
Suppliers change lead times. Shipping delays happen. If you use the average lead time without accounting for variability, you'll run out of stock when things go wrong.
Fix: Track actual lead times from your suppliers and update your calculations. If a supplier is consistently late, build that into your safety stock.
A reorder point for one product ignores what else is happening in your business. If you're running a promotion on Product A, it might cannibalize sales of Product B. If you're low on cash, you might need to delay orders.
Fix: Reorder points are a starting point. Look at the bigger picture before placing orders.
If you're using Excel or Google Sheets for inventory, setting reorder points means:
This works — until you have more than a handful of products. Then it becomes a part-time job just to maintain the spreadsheet.
And the real problem? Spreadsheets don't alert you. You have to remember to check. And nobody remembers to check until they hear "we're out of stock."
Fluxventory calculates reorder points automatically based on your actual sales data and supplier lead times.
Instead of maintaining formulas in a spreadsheet, you get:
The system runs on your phone or tablet — no barcode scanners, no dedicated hardware, no setup cost. Just open the app, scan a barcode, and see your stock levels with reorder points calculated in real time.
Setting reorder points doesn't have to be complicated. Start simple:
The difference between guessing and calculating is the difference between running out of stock and running a business that grows.
Ready to stop guessing? Try Fluxventory free and let the system handle your reorder points automatically.
Join businesses using Fluxventory to track stock in real time, reduce losses, and make smarter decisions.